loading…
Gold price with moving averages
SMA20 (green), SMA50 (blue), SMA200 (red). Drag the range slider.
Price action around the lunar cycle
Mean daily return per moon phase octile (0 = new moon, 0.5 = full).
Error bars = ±1 SE. The strongest cell overall sits in the trend-conditioned family.
Mean daily return per sun octile (seasonal)
Sun longitude octiles — i.e. time-of-year buckets (0 = spring equinox).
Volatility per moon octile
Mean |return| — moon effects often show up in vol, not direction.
Per-planet test — add one planet at a time
Each planet gets its OWN family: its aspects to the sun, moon and all other
planets (5 aspects × 9 targets, own 10k block-permutation null on max |cell mean|) — the
incremental path: add Mercury, look at Mercury, then Venus … The right column is the planet's
best aspect-proximity pair (continuous version, 8 octiles from exact-aspect to between-aspects;
pairs with <30 episodes are flagged slow and untestable on daily data).
Aspect proximity — all 45 pairs
Permutation p per pair (block null, 10k). Red = flagged slow (<30 episodes —
few long aspect runs, not testable at daily granularity). Dashed line = 0.05. Expect ~2.25 pairs
below the line by chance alone.
All pre-registered families
Null per family: permutation of the max |cell mean| (10k shuffles) —
the multiple-comparison problem is priced in per family. half-corr = correlation of
cell means between 1975–2013 and 2013–now (cells with ≥50 days in both halves).
Volume & RSI (GC=F era, 2000 → now)
Event windows (directional pre-registered tests)
Method — written before results were seen
| Rules | |
| Data | |
| Ephemeris | Skyfield DE440, tropical geocentric-apparent, 00:00 UTC per trading day; outer planets via barycenters (<0.01° error, below all orbs) |